Posted tagged ‘short sales’

Is the Market Changing

November 9, 2011

The percentage of active bank owned listings, also known as REOs, on the market has decreased from approximately 70% of all listings three years ago, to approximately 18% today. Short sales, on the other hand, have risen to approximately 43%, and standard sales have also risen to approximately 35% of real estate transactions.

The decrease in REOs seems to be due to banks holding properties off the market. Eventually, however, financial institutions will have no choice, and will place this shadow inventory on the market. In order for the real estate industry to make a complete recovery, the inventory of foreclosures must be sold and taken off of the banks’ books.

According to the City of Merced, there are currently 518 vacant homes, a decrease from 6 months ago, where there were approximately 720 before some of these houses were listed.

Call Coldwell Banker Gonella Realty for a complete list of homes on the market, including all bank owned properties, at any of the following numbers:

Merced Sales Office:                                    209-383-2171
Atwater Sales Office:                                   209-358-6429
Commercial Office:                                      209-725-7253

Gonella Realty Updates Military Officers Association of America

July 19, 2010

On Saturday, July 17, 2010, Loren Gonella spoke before the Military Officers Association of America, Yosemite Chapter in Merced, CA.  Loren spoke about what created the massive increase in housing prices and the over-building that occurred during the real estate boom, as well as where the  real estate market is today, and the future of real estate.

3 things led up to the real estate boom:

1)      Speculative fervor due to the coming of UC Merced

2)      Many out of town builders coming into the area (due to the speculative fervor due to the coming of UC Merced) and then paying too much for land

3)      Cheap credit led to no-documentation-stated-income loans—a person would walk into a lending office and say “I earn $20,000 per month” and the income would never get verified—the lender would just take the person’s word.

These factors contributed to a speculative fervor that caused prices to increase by 25-35% per year in 2003, 2004, 2005.

The market peaked in the 3rd quarter of 2005 at a median sale price of $350,000.  Home values started to fall in 2006 and have dropped almost 70% since the peak.  Today, home values are starting to increase—home values are up from June 2009-June 2010 with an increase of 14%.

We believe that values have bottomed out and will continue to increase.  In fact, there are more buyers than sellers, which have created an inventory shortage.

So where is the real estate market going from here?

We believe that the market is starting to transition from short sales and foreclosures to more traditional sellers.  Also, new home construction is starting to make a comeback, in part due to the fact that the City of Merced is working on reducing new construction fees.

To summarize, we told the Military Officers Association of America, Yosemite Chapter that the market has appeared to bottom out, prices are increasing, and homes are selling!