Posted tagged ‘real estate boom’

Rental Property Inventory Update

July 23, 2010

For several months now, the Central Valley has had very small number of properties for sale. Now, it appears that this trend is also beginning to affect rental properties.

According to our Property Management Department, Gonella Realty Property Management – out of 30 single family residences available for rent, there has been an application for, or a holding deposit on all but 3 properties. This indicates a tremendous surge in demand for rentals and we believe that rental prices, which have been steadily rising, will continue to increase.

So, if you’ve been thinking about buying a rental property, but are wondering if you will be able to find a tenant, the answer is more than likely to be ABSOLUTELY!


Gonella Realty Updates Military Officers Association of America

July 19, 2010

On Saturday, July 17, 2010, Loren Gonella spoke before the Military Officers Association of America, Yosemite Chapter in Merced, CA.  Loren spoke about what created the massive increase in housing prices and the over-building that occurred during the real estate boom, as well as where the  real estate market is today, and the future of real estate.

3 things led up to the real estate boom:

1)      Speculative fervor due to the coming of UC Merced

2)      Many out of town builders coming into the area (due to the speculative fervor due to the coming of UC Merced) and then paying too much for land

3)      Cheap credit led to no-documentation-stated-income loans—a person would walk into a lending office and say “I earn $20,000 per month” and the income would never get verified—the lender would just take the person’s word.

These factors contributed to a speculative fervor that caused prices to increase by 25-35% per year in 2003, 2004, 2005.

The market peaked in the 3rd quarter of 2005 at a median sale price of $350,000.  Home values started to fall in 2006 and have dropped almost 70% since the peak.  Today, home values are starting to increase—home values are up from June 2009-June 2010 with an increase of 14%.

We believe that values have bottomed out and will continue to increase.  In fact, there are more buyers than sellers, which have created an inventory shortage.

So where is the real estate market going from here?

We believe that the market is starting to transition from short sales and foreclosures to more traditional sellers.  Also, new home construction is starting to make a comeback, in part due to the fact that the City of Merced is working on reducing new construction fees.

To summarize, we told the Military Officers Association of America, Yosemite Chapter that the market has appeared to bottom out, prices are increasing, and homes are selling!