January 15, 2010

In order to know where you are going, you must take a look back to where you have been. The 2009 real estate market provided many challenges and surprises.

In Merced County the median sold price in December of 2008 was $115,000. In December of 2009 the median sold price was $110,500. This is a decrease of only 4%. An argument can be made that the market is starting to stabilize. Taking a longer look back- in December of 2007 the median sold price was $227,000. The December 2009 price of $110,500 is a decrease of 51% over a 2 year period.

The average of days that a property was on the market was 114 days in December 2008. In December 2009 the average days on the market was 31 days. This is a decrease of 73% in a 1 year period.

From December 2008 to December 2009 the number of properties for sale has decreased 56%. This is most likely attributed to State and Federal efforts to slow down the number of foreclosures. This has resulted in a decrease in the number of properties sold from 288 in December 2008 to 156 in December 2009 – a decrease of 46%. Also, the inventory (as noted in months) has decreased from 4.4 months in December 2008 to 2.9 months in December 2009 – a dramatic change from 25.6 months of inventory in December 2007.
I believe that the strongest indicator that the market has stabilized is that the median sold price has only decreased 4% in the last 12 months. Further evidence of market stabilization is that the median for sale price has gone from $124,750 in December 2008 to $124,900 in December 2009 – a slight increase of less than 1%.

In 2010, the market will continue to stabilize; interest rates may rise, but still remain affordable; and prices, we believe, have hit bottom and we feel may slightly increase.

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2 Comments on “January 15, 2010”

  1. Mickey Says:

    Great stuff for a newsletter like this good sharing real estate market info!


  2. Great summary of the changes in the market this year in the Merced area. We really need to let people know what great opportunities exist right now!


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